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AdaBoost-Based Detection of Vulnerable Third-Party PyPI Dependencies Exploited Through Software Supply-Chain Attacks for Dependency Risk Identification

Description

Python applications frequently depend on third-party packages obtained from the Python Package Index (PyPI). These packages provide reusable functionality, reduce development effort, and support application development. However, applications may inherit security risks when their dependencies contain known vulnerabilities or other suspicious characteristics.

Software supply-chain attacks can exploit weaknesses in third-party packages to compromise applications that depend on them. Vulnerable dependencies may expose applications to known security weaknesses, while malicious packages may introduce intentionally harmful functionality. Therefore, dependency assessment is an important part of software supply-chain security.

Traditional dependency-scanning tools identify known vulnerabilities by checking package information against available security advisories. However, dependency-risk assessment may also benefit from machine-learning techniques that learn patterns from existing labelled dependency records and classify previously unseen records.

In this use case, an existing public dependency-risk dataset is used as the primary data source for the machine-learning stage. The dataset is inspected to identify suitable dependency records, available labels, and features that support the intended classification task. The selected records are processed into numerical representations suitable for the AdaBoost algorithm.

The AdaBoost model is trained using the selected labelled dependency records and evaluated against held-out records. The trained model is then used to classify compatible PyPI dependency records according to the risk categories supported by the training data.

An isolated Ubuntu and Kali Linux laboratory environment is used to conduct controlled dependency assessments. Tools such as pip-audit and OSV-Scanner provide supplementary information about known vulnerabilities. The machine-learning predictions and vulnerability-scanning results are correlated to support dependency-risk prioritization and security review.

The complete workflow is:
Existing Public Dependency-Risk Dataset
→
Dataset Suitability Assessment
→
Dependency Record Selection
→
Data Preprocessing
→
Dependency Feature Extraction
→
AdaBoost Training
→
Held-Out Model Evaluation
→
PyPI Dependency Assessment
→
Known Vulnerability Scanning
→
Security Evidence Correlation
→
Dependency Risk Prioritization
→
Risk Flagging
→
Security Review
→
Remediation Decision
→
Final Security Validation

Existing Security Problem

Application: Python Package Ecosystem (PyPI)

PyPI is the package repository used to obtain third-party Python packages. Developers use these packages to provide application functionality without implementing every component from scratch.

However, applications may become exposed to security risks when their dependencies contain known vulnerabilities or other suspicious characteristics.

Existing Problem :

Python applications often depend on multiple third-party packages, and each package may introduce additional dependencies. As dependency relationships grow, assessing the security implications of every package becomes more difficult.

Traditional vulnerability-scanning tools identify known vulnerabilities using available security advisories and package information. However, the identification of known vulnerabilities and the classification of dependency-risk patterns are different tasks.

Machine learning can provide an additional assessment mechanism by learning patterns from labelled dependency records. Its predictions can help prioritize packages for further investigation, but they do not independently establish that a package has been exploited.

The security problem is:
Python Application
→
Third-Party PyPI Dependencies
→
Dependency Relationships and Package Metadata
→
Potentially Vulnerable Dependencies
→
Possible Software Supply-Chain Exposure
→
Dependency Security Assessment Required
→
Known Vulnerability Scanning
→
Machine-Learning-Based Risk Classification
→
Dependency Risk Prioritization
→
Security Review and Remediation

The proposed solution introduces AdaBoost-based dependency-risk classification alongside known vulnerability scanning. The model evaluates dependency features learned from an existing public dataset, while vulnerability-scanning tools provide supplementary evidence about known security issues.

Attack

Specific Attack: Software Supply-Chain Attack Through Vulnerable Third-Party PyPI Dependencies

A software supply-chain attack can affect an application through weaknesses in the third-party packages on which it depends.

In this use case, the assessment focuses on identifying potentially vulnerable third-party PyPI dependencies that may expose applications to known security weaknesses.

A controlled dependency-assessment scenario is conducted within the isolated laboratory. Selected package records are examined using the trained AdaBoost model and supplementary vulnerability-scanning tools.

The purpose is to determine whether the proposed workflow can identify dependency-risk indicators, flag potentially risky packages, and support further security investigation.

Attack Behavior :
Python Application
→
Third-Party PyPI Dependency Introduced
→
Potentially Vulnerable Dependency
→
Possible Exploitation of a Known Weakness
→
Potential Application Security Impact
→
Dependency Records and Security Evidence Collected
→
Dependency Feature Extraction
→
AdaBoost-Based Risk Classification
→
Known Vulnerability Verification
→
Risk Flagging
→
Security Review and Remediation Decision

Security Concept

AdaBoost-Based Vulnerable Dependency Detection and Pre-Installation Risk Identification

The primary security concept is machine-learning-based detection of vulnerable third-party PyPI dependencies within the Python software supply chain.

The first objective is to prepare suitable dependency features from an existing public dependency-risk dataset. The selected records are processed into numerical representations compatible with AdaBoost.

The second objective is to train the AdaBoost model using labelled dependency-risk records. The trained model learns patterns from the selected features and uses them to classify compatible dependency records.

The third objective is to validate the classification results using held-out records and controlled dependency-assessment scenarios. Dependencies predicted as potentially risky are flagged for further investigation before they are approved or installed.

The assessment follows:
Existing Public Dependency-Risk Dataset
→
Dataset Suitability Assessment
→
PyPI Dependency Selection
→
Data Preprocessing
→
Feature Extraction
→
AdaBoost Training
→
Held-Out Model Evaluation
→
Controlled Dependency-Risk Validation
→
Vulnerable Dependency Prediction
→
Risk Flagging
→
Security Review

Defensive Mechanism

The security concept defines the overall dependency-risk assessment strategy.

The following are the specific defensive mechanisms implemented.

Dependency Feature Extraction :

Dependency records are processed to extract relevant characteristics supported by the selected dataset, such as package metadata, version information, dependency relationships, and available security indicators.

Purpose: Represent third-party dependencies using consistent features suitable for machine-learning classification.

AdaBoost-Based Risk Classification

AdaBoost evaluates dependency features and predicts the risk category supported by the labelled training data.

Purpose
  • Identify dependency records that exhibit characteristics associated with the learned risk categories.

Known Vulnerability Scanning

pip-audit and OSV-Scanner examine dependencies for known vulnerabilities represented in their available advisory sources.

Purpose
  • Identify known dependency vulnerabilities and provide supplementary security evidence.

Dependency Risk Correlation

Machine-learning predictions are correlated with vulnerability-scanning results and available package information.

Purpose
  • Combine complementary findings to support dependency-risk assessment.

Risk-Based Prioritization

Dependencies are organized for review according to their classification results, known vulnerabilities, and available supporting evidence.

Purpose
  • Help prioritize dependencies that require further investigation.

Dependency Remediation Review

Flagged dependencies are reviewed to determine whether an update, replacement, removal, or additional investigation is appropriate.

Purpose
  • Support evidence-based decisions for reducing dependency-related security risks.

Pre-Installation Security Review

Dependency assessment results are reviewed before a package is approved or introduced into the application environment.

Purpose
  • Identify potential risks before dependencies are trusted or installed.

Model Performance Evaluation

The AdaBoost model is evaluated using held-out labelled records and appropriate classification metrics.

Purpose
  • Measure classification performance and identify false-positive and false-negative results.

Controlled Laboratory Validation

The detection workflow is tested against selected dependency records in an isolated environment.

Purpose
  • Validate the complete assessment process without exposing production applications to unnecessary risk.

Security Tools

Primary Dependency Repository: PyPI

PyPI provides the package ecosystem examined in this use case.

Purpose
  • Identify Python package records.
  • Examine package names and version information.
  • Support dependency assessment.
  • Provide the context for third-party package risk analysis.

Machine-Learning Algorithm: AdaBoost

AdaBoost is the primary machine-learning algorithm used to classify dependency-risk records.

Purpose
  • Learn patterns from labelled dependency records.
  • Generate dependency-risk predictions.
  • Classify compatible records.
  • Support prioritization for further security review.

Machine-Learning Library: Scikit-learn

Scikit-learn provides the AdaBoost implementation and classification-evaluation utilities.

Purpose
  • Configure and train the AdaBoost model.
  • Generate predictions for held-out records.
  • Calculate classification metrics.
  • Evaluate model performance.

Programming and Automation Tool: Python

Python provides the main implementation environment for dataset processing, feature extraction, model training, and dependency assessment.

Purpose
  • Integrate the machine-learning workflow.
  • Process dependency records.
  • Automate classification and result analysis.
  • Generate structured assessment results.

Data Processing Tool: Pandas

Pandas is used to load, filter, transform, and organize the existing public dependency-risk dataset.

Purpose
  • Inspect dependency records and available labels.
  • Prepare the selected dataset.
  • Organize package features.
  • Analyze classification results.

Numerical Processing Tool: NumPy

NumPy supports numerical operations required during feature preparation and model processing.

Purpose
  • Support numerical data transformations.
  • Prepare numerical feature representations.
  • Assist with data processing.

Vulnerability Scanning Tool: pip-audit

pip-audit examines Python environments or dependency requirements for known vulnerabilities using supported advisory sources.

Purpose
  • Identify known vulnerabilities affecting Python dependencies.
  • Provide supplementary evidence for dependency-risk assessment.
  • Support remediation review.

Vulnerability Scanning Tool: OSV-Scanner

OSV-Scanner examines supported dependency information against vulnerability data available through the Open Source Vulnerabilities ecosystem.

Purpose
  • Identify known vulnerabilities associated with supported package records.
  • Provide additional vulnerability evidence.
  • Support dependency-risk prioritization.

Security Testing Platform: Kali Linux

Kali Linux provides the controlled security-testing environment for the laboratory.

Purpose
  • Support authorized security testing.
  • Examine dependency-assessment results.
  • Assist with controlled validation activities.

Application and Analysis Environment: Ubuntu Linux

Ubuntu Linux provides the environment for Python, dependency-analysis tools, and controlled package assessment.

Purpose
  • Execute the machine-learning workflow.
  • Run dependency-scanning tools.
  • Process and review package information.

Virtualization Platform: VirtualBox

VirtualBox provides the isolated virtual-machine environment used for the assessment.

Purpose
  • Host the Ubuntu and Kali Linux virtual machines.
  • Separate testing from the host environment.
  • Support repeatable laboratory experiments.

Evidence Storage Tool: SQLite

SQLite stores the relevant dependency records, classification results, vulnerability findings, and review decisions.

Purpose
  • Maintain structured assessment records.
  • Associate predictions with package information.
  • Preserve vulnerability-scanning results.
  • Support result comparison and investigation.

Version-Control Tool: Git

Git maintains the version history of the project scripts and configuration files.

Purpose
  • Track implementation changes.
  • Preserve the assessment workflow.
  • Support reproducibility and controlled updates.

Process

STEP 01

Prepare the Isolated Laboratory Environment

  • Create an isolated cybersecurity laboratory using VirtualBox.
  • Configure Ubuntu Linux as the primary dependency-analysis environment.
  • Configure Kali Linux as the security-testing environment where required.
  • Establish the network connectivity needed for the authorized laboratory.
  • Verify that the virtual machines operate correctly.
  • Ensure that package testing and any potentially risky validation activities remain confined to the laboratory.
Tools: VirtualBox + Ubuntu Linux + Kali Linux
STEP 02

Prepare the Python Dependency-Analysis Environment

  • Prepare the Ubuntu environment for Python-based dependency analysis.
  • Verify the availability of Python and the required packages.
  • Create a dedicated project directory for dataset files, processed records, model artifacts, scanning results, and reports.
  • Configure an isolated Python environment for the project.
  • Record the software versions and configuration used during the experiment.
Tools: Ubuntu Linux + Python + VirtualBox
STEP 03

Obtain the Existing Public Dependency-Risk Dataset

  • Identify and obtain an existing public dependency-risk dataset suitable for the planned classification task.
  • Review its documentation, usage conditions, available fields, and classification labels.
  • Determine whether the dataset contains dependency records and labels relevant to the intended risk categories.
  • Check whether the records provide sufficient information to extract useful package features.
  • Preserve the original dataset and its documentation.
  • Do not manually fabricate the primary training dataset.
Tools: Python + Pandas + Ubuntu Linux
STEP 04

Inspect the Dataset Structure

  • Load the selected public dataset into Python.
  • Inspect its file structure, package records, available features, and classification labels.
  • Identify fields such as package metadata, version information, dependency relationships, and security indicators where available.
  • Review the distribution of the available risk categories.
  • Determine whether the selected records support the intended AdaBoost classification task.
  • Document missing fields and dataset limitations before beginning model training.
Tools: Python + Pandas + NumPy
STEP 05

Select Suitable PyPI Dependency Records

  • Review the dataset to identify records relevant to the Python package ecosystem.
  • Select compatible PyPI dependency records according to the dataset's available information and intended classification objective.
  • Verify that the selected records contain usable labels where supervised classification is planned.
  • Separate unsuitable or incomplete records when necessary.
  • Preserve the original records and their associated labels.
  • Document the final record selection and the criteria used.
Tools: Python + Pandas
STEP 06

Preprocess the Dependency Dataset

  • Inspect the selected dependency records for missing values, inconsistent formatting, duplicate records, and invalid feature values.
  • Clean unsuitable records where appropriate.
  • Normalize supported fields and prepare a consistent data representation.
  • Ensure that preprocessing does not unintentionally remove meaningful security information.
  • Preserve the original labels and source references.
  • Record the preprocessing configuration so that it can be reused during evaluation.
Tools: Python + Pandas + NumPy
STEP 07

Extract Dependency Features

  • Identify the features supported by the selected dataset and relevant to the classification objective.
  • Prepare numerical representations of suitable attributes, such as package metadata, version-related information, dependency characteristics, and available security indicators.
  • Encode categorical fields where necessary.
  • Exclude fields that directly reveal the target label or would cause target leakage.
  • Ensure that the selected features can be generated consistently for both training records and dependency records under assessment.
  • Preserve the feature-extraction configuration.
Tools: Python + Pandas + NumPy + Scikit-learn
STEP 08

Prepare Training and Test Data

  • Separate the prepared dependency records into training and test partitions.
  • Preserve the corresponding reference labels.
  • Ensure that test records are not used during model training.
  • Where possible, avoid placing duplicate or closely related package records across both partitions if doing so would produce data leakage.
  • Review the class distribution in each partition.
  • Record the data-splitting method and prepare the feature matrices for AdaBoost.
Tools: Python + Pandas + Scikit-learn
STEP 09

Configure the AdaBoost Model

  • Configure the AdaBoost classifier using Scikit-learn.
  • Define the model parameters and the classification target supported by the selected dataset.
  • Confirm that the prepared feature representation is compatible with the chosen classifier configuration.
  • Establish the evaluation metrics required to assess the model.
  • Record the model configuration before training.
Tools: Python + Scikit-learn + NumPy
STEP 10

Train the AdaBoost Model

  • Provide the prepared training features and their verified labels to the AdaBoost classifier.
  • Train the model using the selected public dependency-risk records.
  • Monitor the training process and check for implementation errors.
  • Save the trained model and its associated feature-processing configuration.
  • Verify that the model can generate predictions for compatible dependency records.
  • Preserve the training configuration for reproducibility.
Tools: Python + Scikit-learn + Pandas
STEP 11

Evaluate the Classification Model

  • Provide the held-out test records to the trained AdaBoost model.
  • Generate predictions for the test data.
  • Compare the predictions with the corresponding reference labels.
  • Calculate accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score where appropriate.
  • Generate a confusion matrix to examine classification errors.
  • Review false positives and false negatives.
  • Record the actual evaluation results without assuming that the model has achieved a particular performance level.
Tools: Python + Scikit-learn + Pandas
STEP 12

Prepare the Controlled Dependency-Assessment Scenario

  • Prepare a controlled set of PyPI dependency records for assessment within the isolated laboratory.
  • Select records that are compatible with the model's expected input features.
  • Establish the known reference information available for the selected records.
  • Prepare the dependency information required by pip-audit and OSV-Scanner.
  • Keep any potentially risky package installation or execution separate from the initial assessment stage.
  • Document the assessment conditions and the intended validation criteria.
Tools: Ubuntu Linux + Python + pip-audit + OSV-Scanner
STEP 13

Extract Features from Dependencies Under Assessment

  • Load the selected dependency records into the assessment workflow.
  • Apply the same preprocessing and feature-extraction configuration used during model training.
  • Extract the features required by the trained AdaBoost model.
  • Verify that the resulting feature dimensions and ordering match the training representation.
  • Check for missing or incompatible attributes.
  • Preserve the package identifiers and original record references so that predictions can be traced back to their source.
Tools: Python + Pandas + NumPy + Scikit-learn
STEP 14

Perform AdaBoost-Based Dependency-Risk Classification

  • Load the trained AdaBoost model and the corresponding feature-processing configuration.
  • Provide the prepared dependency features to the model.
  • Generate predictions for the selected dependency records.
  • Record the predicted risk category for each record.
  • Where supported, preserve the model's prediction scores or class probabilities.
  • Associate each prediction with the relevant package information.
  • Treat predicted risk as an indicator for further investigation rather than proof of exploitation.
Tools: Python + Scikit-learn + Pandas
STEP 15

Perform Known Vulnerability Scanning

  • Run pip-audit and OSV-Scanner against the supported dependency requirements or package records.
  • Collect the vulnerability findings returned by the tools.
  • Record the affected package names, versions, advisory references, and other available details.
  • Determine whether the reported vulnerabilities apply to the dependency versions being assessed.
  • Preserve the scan output for comparison with the machine-learning predictions.
  • Recognize that vulnerability scanning identifies known vulnerabilities within the tools' supported data sources and does not detect every form of malicious package behavior.
Tools: pip-audit + OSV-Scanner + Python + Ubuntu Linux
STEP 16

Correlate Classification and Vulnerability Findings

  • Collect the AdaBoost predictions and vulnerability-scanning results.
  • Associate the findings with the corresponding package records and versions.
  • Compare the predicted risk categories with the known vulnerability information.
  • Identify records flagged by the model, the scanners, or both.
  • Preserve cases where the results disagree for further investigation.
  • Avoid treating a model prediction without supporting evidence as a confirmed vulnerability or successful attack.
  • Prepare the correlated results for dependency-risk prioritization.
Tools: Python + Pandas + SQLite + Scikit-learn + pip-audit + OSV-Scanner
STEP 17

Validate the Dependency-Risk Findings

  • Review the correlated findings against available reference labels and vulnerability advisories.
  • Verify whether the package versions and reported vulnerabilities correspond to the selected records.
  • Examine false positives, false negatives, and disagreements between the classifier and vulnerability scanners.
  • Determine whether the observed results are affected by missing features, unsuitable labels, or differences between training and assessment data.
  • Document the evidence supporting each risk finding.
  • Identify dependencies that require additional security review.
Tools: Python + Pandas + Scikit-learn + pip-audit + OSV-Scanner
STEP 18

Complete the Dependency Security Assessment

  • Consolidate the dataset information, preprocessing configuration, model settings, classification metrics, and vulnerability-scanning results.
  • Prepare a structured report containing the assessed dependency records, predicted risk categories, known vulnerability findings, and supporting evidence.
  • Record the limitations of the dataset and the model.
  • Identify dependencies that require updating, replacement, removal, or further investigation.
  • Verify that remediation decisions are based on the combined evidence rather than model predictions alone.
  • Document the final assessment results and recommendations.
Tools: Python + Scikit-learn + Pandas + SQLite + pip-audit + OSV-Scanner + Ubuntu Linux

Outcome

An isolated Ubuntu and Kali Linux laboratory is prepared for conducting controlled third-party PyPI dependency-risk assessments.

An existing public dependency-risk dataset is obtained and inspected to determine whether it supports the intended machine-learning classification task.

Suitable dependency records are processed and converted into numerical features compatible with the AdaBoost algorithm.

The AdaBoost model is trained using the selected labelled dependency records to learn patterns associated with the risk categories represented in the training data.

The trained model is evaluated against held-out records, providing measurable results for classification performance and identifying false-positive and false-negative cases.

PyPI dependency records are processed through the same feature-extraction workflow and evaluated by the trained model to generate dependency-risk predictions.

pip-audit and OSV-Scanner provide supplementary findings about known vulnerabilities affecting supported dependency records and versions.

Machine-learning predictions and vulnerability-scanning results are correlated to identify dependencies requiring further security review and risk prioritization.

The assessment records the evidence supporting each finding, documents model and dataset limitations, and supports remediation decisions based on verified dependency information.

The complete workflow demonstrates how AdaBoost-based dependency-risk classification can complement known vulnerability scanning to support Python software supply-chain security. The final assessment distinguishes predicted risk, known vulnerabilities, and confirmed exploitation, ensuring that remediation decisions are based on available evidence rather than machine-learning predictions alone.