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SVM-Based Detection of Malicious npm Packages Through Software Supply-Chain Threat Analysis for Pre-Installation Risk Identification

Description

Modern software applications depend on third-party packages to provide reusable functionality, reduce development time, and simplify application maintenance. In the JavaScript ecosystem, developers commonly obtain packages through the npm package registry and include them in their applications through dependency declarations.

However, attackers may publish malicious packages that contain harmful code or unauthorized functionality. These packages may attempt to access sensitive information, execute unauthorized operations, or compromise systems that install or use them. Such activity creates a software supply-chain security risk because a package may enter an application through a normal dependency-management workflow.

Manually examining large numbers of packages can be time-consuming. Package metadata, dependency relationships, and source-code characteristics can provide useful indicators for distinguishing potentially malicious packages from benign packages.

In this use case, a Support Vector Machine (SVM) is implemented to classify npm package records using features from an existing public software-package security dataset. The dataset is used as the primary source for model training and evaluation. The primary dataset is not manually created for this project.

The dataset is inspected to verify its package ecosystem, classification labels, feature structure, and suitability for SVM classification. Suitable npm package records are selected, and their existing numerical features are prepared for machine-learning analysis.

A controlled laboratory environment is established using Ubuntu Linux, Kali Linux, and VirtualBox. A controlled malicious-package scenario is examined using labelled package records and compatible package samples. The trained SVM model classifies the selected package features, and potentially malicious results are flagged for security review.

Cybersecurity tools such as npm audit and OSV-Scanner provide supplementary vulnerability information, while Wireshark can be used to inspect network activity during authorized laboratory testing. These tools complement the SVM workflow but do not replace the model's malicious-package classification function.

The controlled validation does not require executing malicious package code. The purpose is to demonstrate the package-analysis and classification workflow safely within the laboratory environment.

The complete workflow is:
Public Software-Package Security Dataset
→
Dataset Inspection
→
npm Package Selection
→
Data Preprocessing
→
Feature Extraction
→
SVM Training
→
Model Evaluation
→
Controlled Package-Risk Scenario
→
Package Feature Analysis
→
SVM Classification
→
Malicious Package Identification
→
Risk Flagging
→
Security Validation

Existing Security Problem

Application: npm Package Ecosystem

npm is the package ecosystem targeted in this use case. It provides third-party packages used by JavaScript and Node.js applications

The project examines whether an SVM model can classify npm package records as benign or malicious using suitable labelled data and numerical package features.

Existing Problem :

A malicious npm package may appear similar to a legitimate package in its name, metadata, or apparent purpose. It may be introduced directly into an application or indirectly through another package's dependency chain.

If potentially malicious packages are not identified before they are accepted into a software project, the application may inherit security risks from those dependencies.

Traditional package reviews and predefined indicators can identify some suspicious packages. However, examining every package manually can be difficult, particularly when a development project depends on numerous third-party components.

Security tools that identify known vulnerabilities can provide useful findings, but a vulnerability in a legitimate package and a deliberately malicious package are different security conditions. Consequently, vulnerability scanning alone may not identify every malicious package.

The security problem is:
Third-Party npm Package
→
Package Metadata and Code Characteristics
→
Potentially Malicious Package
→
Package Included in a Development Project
→
Software Supply-Chain Exposure
→
Potential Security Compromise
→
Package Security Assessment Required
→
ML-Based Package Classification
→
Suspicious Package Identification

The proposed solution introduces an SVM-based classification mechanism that analyzes suitable package features and identifies records exhibiting characteristics associated with malicious packages.

Attack

Specific Attack: Malicious npm Package Supply-Chain Attack

A malicious npm package attack occurs when a package containing harmful or unauthorized functionality is introduced into a software development or dependency-management workflow.

In this use case, the attack scenario is examined using labelled package records from an existing public software-package security dataset and a controlled package-risk validation workflow in an isolated laboratory.

The public dataset provides the examples required for model training and evaluation. The controlled scenario validates whether the implemented workflow can process package features, generate an SVM prediction, and flag a suspicious package record for review.

The testing is restricted to the authorized laboratory environment. Malicious package code is not executed merely to produce a classification result. Package metadata and available static features are used wherever they are sufficient for the intended analysis.

The objective is to evaluate whether the SVM model can identify potentially malicious package records and provide useful evidence for a pre-installation security review.

Attack Behavior :
Attacker Prepares a Malicious npm Package
→
Malicious Package Introduced into a Dependency Workflow
→
Package Becomes a Potential Supply-Chain Risk
→
Package Metadata and Available Features Examined
→
Feature Preprocessing
→
SVM-Based Classification
→
Potentially Malicious Package Identified
→
Package Flagged for Security Review
→
Package Installation Decision Reviewed
→
Detection Result Validated Against Known Package Labels

Security Concept

Machine-Learning-Based Malicious Package Detection and Pre-Installation Risk Identification

The primary security concept is machine-learning-based detection of malicious software packages within the npm supply chain.

The first objective is to prepare suitable package features from an existing public software-package security dataset. The selected records are processed into numerical representations compatible with SVM.

The second objective is to train the SVM model using labelled benign and malicious package records. The trained model learns a decision boundary that can be used to classify compatible package records.

The third objective is to validate the classification results using held-out records and controlled package-risk scenarios. Packages predicted as potentially malicious are flagged for further investigation before they are trusted or installed.

The assessment follows:
Public Software-Package Security Dataset
→
Dataset Suitability Assessment
→
npm Package Selection
→
Data Preprocessing
→
Feature Extraction
→
SVM Training
→
Held-Out Model Evaluation
→
Controlled Package-Risk Validation
→
Malicious Package Prediction
→
Risk Flagging
→
Security Review

Defensive Mechanism

The security concept defines the overall security strategy.

The following are the specific defensive mechanisms implemented.

Package Feature Analysis :

Package records are processed into numerical features compatible with the trained SVM model.

Purpose: Represent package characteristics consistently for classification.

SVM-Based Malicious Package Detection

The SVM model classifies compatible package records using patterns learned from the labelled training data.

Purpose
  • Identify package records that exhibit characteristics associated with the malicious class.

Consistent Feature Preprocessing

Training, evaluation, and new package records use the same feature order and preprocessing configuration.

Purpose
  • Maintain compatibility between model training and detection.

Package Risk Flagging

Packages classified as potentially malicious are marked for security review.

Purpose
  • Highlight packages that require further investigation before they are trusted.

Vulnerability Assessment

npm audit and OSV-Scanner provide supplementary information about known vulnerabilities associated with packages and dependencies.

Purpose
  • Identify known dependency vulnerabilities that may require separate remediation.

Pre-Installation Security Review

The classification result is considered alongside available package metadata, provenance information, and other security evidence.

Purpose
  • Support security assessment before a package is accepted into a software project.

Installation Enforcement

A separate package-management or CI/CD control can prevent flagged packages from being installed or approved until they pass the required security checks.

Purpose
  • Convert the detection result into an actionable prevention measure.

Model Performance Evaluation

Model predictions are compared with known labels in held-out data and compatible controlled test records.

Purpose
  • Measure classification performance and identify false positives and false negatives.

Security Tools

Primary Package Ecosystem: npm

npm provides the package ecosystem being assessed.

Purpose
  • Identify package records relevant to the project.
  • Examine package metadata and dependency information.
  • Establish the target ecosystem for detection.

Operating System: Ubuntu Linux

Ubuntu provides the primary environment for dataset processing and model development.

Purpose
  • Run Python and machine-learning tools.
  • Process package features.
  • Execute the detection workflow.

Security Testing Platform: Kali Linux

Kali Linux provides a separate laboratory environment for controlled security testing.

Purpose
  • Support authorized package-risk validation.
  • Generate controlled test inputs.
  • Verify that suspicious package records can be submitted to the detection workflow.

Virtualization Platform: VirtualBox

VirtualBox provides the isolated virtual-machine environment.

Purpose
  • Host Ubuntu and Kali Linux virtual machines.
  • Separate the analysis environment from the testing environment.
  • Support repeatable laboratory experiments.

Package Security Scanner: npm audit

npm audit examines project dependencies against known vulnerability advisories.

Purpose
  • Identify dependencies associated with known vulnerabilities.
  • Provide supplementary security findings.
  • Compare vulnerability-scanning results with the ML classification results.

Software Composition Analysis Tool: OSV-Scanner

OSV-Scanner checks software dependencies against vulnerability information available through the OSV ecosystem.

Purpose
  • Identify dependencies associated with known vulnerabilities.
  • Support dependency-risk investigation.
  • Provide supplementary evidence for package assessment.

Network Analysis Tool: Wireshark

Wireshark captures and analyzes network traffic in the authorized laboratory.

Purpose
  • Observe network communication during controlled testing.
  • Inspect unexpected outbound connections if generated during a test.
  • Preserve network evidence for investigation.

Network Discovery Tool: Nmap

Nmap identifies services exposed by the laboratory systems.

Purpose
  • Discover authorized laboratory services.
  • Verify expected service exposure.
  • Support basic laboratory security validation.

Programming Language: Python

Python integrates dataset preparation, model training, classification, evaluation, and result storage.

Purpose
  • Implement the detection workflow.
  • Automate feature processing.
  • Generate classification results.

Machine-Learning Library: Scikit-learn

Scikit-learn provides the SVM implementation and model-evaluation functions.

Purpose
  • Train the SVM classifier.
  • Predict package classes.
  • Evaluate precision, recall, F1-score, and confusion-matrix results.

Data Processing Tool: Pandas

Pandas organizes dataset metadata and classification results.

Purpose
  • Load and inspect package records.
  • Filter suitable npm records.
  • Organize labels and prediction results.

Numerical Processing Tool: NumPy

NumPy supports numerical operations on package feature arrays.

Purpose
  • Process numerical feature representations.
  • Prepare model inputs.
  • Support data transformations.

Evidence Database: SQLite

SQLite stores package identifiers, predictions, evaluation information, and security-review decisions.

Purpose
  • Maintain structured classification records.
  • Preserve model results.
  • Support review and reporting.

Version-Control Tool: Git

Git maintains the source code and configuration used in the experiment.

Purpose
  • Track implementation changes.
  • Preserve the model-processing workflow.
  • Support reproducibility.

Process

STEP 01

Prepare the Isolated Laboratory Environment

  • Create the cybersecurity laboratory using VirtualBox.
  • Configure Ubuntu Linux as the primary machine for dataset processing and model training.
  • Configure Kali Linux as the separate security-testing environment.
  • Establish the required laboratory network connectivity.
  • Verify communication between the virtual machines where required.
  • Confirm that package-risk testing will not affect production systems or external environments.
Tools: VirtualBox + Ubuntu Linux + Kali Linux
STEP 02

Prepare the Ubuntu Analysis Environment

  • Verify that Ubuntu is operational.
  • Create a project directory for the dataset, processed features, model files, test records, and evaluation results.
  • Check that Python and the required data-processing and machine-learning libraries are available.
  • Record the software versions and configuration used in the experiment.
  • Keep original dataset files separate from processed data.
Tools: Ubuntu Linux + Python + Git
STEP 03

Establish the npm Package Analysis Workflow

  • Prepare the package-analysis workflow for examining npm package records.
  • Identify the package attributes and feature representations that the model will process.
  • Determine how package identifiers, feature records, and classification results will be associated.
  • Prepare a controlled input interface for submitting package records to the classifier.
  • Verify that the workflow can accept a package record without executing its code.
Tools: npm + Python + Ubuntu Linux
STEP 04

Obtain the Existing Public Software-Package Security Dataset

  • Obtain an existing public software-package security dataset from its public source.
  • Review the dataset documentation, licence, data structure, package ecosystems, and classification labels.
  • Determine whether the dataset contains suitable benign and malicious npm package records.
  • Verify that the available features can be used with an SVM classifier.
  • Preserve the original dataset and its documentation.
  • Do not manually create the primary training dataset.
Tools: Python + Pandas + Ubuntu Linux
STEP 05

Inspect and Select Suitable npm Package Records

  • Load the dataset metadata, feature arrays, and labels where provided.
  • Inspect the number of records and feature dimensions.
  • Identify the records associated with npm packages.
  • Check how benign and malicious labels are represented.
  • Verify that package identifiers, features, and labels correspond to one another.
  • Select suitable npm records for the intended classification task and document any limitations.
Tools: Python + Pandas + NumPy
STEP 06

Preprocess the Package Data

  • Inspect the selected feature data for missing values, invalid records, and inconsistent representations.
  • Apply suitable preprocessing to the selected features.
  • Preserve the verified package labels.
  • Check for duplicate or near-duplicate package records that could cause data leakage between training and testing.
  • Record the preprocessing configuration.
  • Store the processed features separately from the original dataset.
Tools: Python + Pandas + NumPy
STEP 07

Extract and Prepare Package Features

  • Identify the numerical features used as input to the SVM classifier.
  • Ensure that the feature matrix contains only appropriate input features.
  • Exclude the target label and any direct copies or derivatives of the label from the input features.
  • Determine whether feature scaling is appropriate for the selected SVM configuration.
  • Fit preprocessing transformations using the training data only.
  • Preserve the fitted transformations for subsequent evaluation and prediction.
Tools: Python + NumPy + Scikit-learn
STEP 08

Prepare Training and Testing Data

  • Separate the selected records into training and testing sets
  • Use stratified splitting where appropriate to preserve the distribution of the benign and malicious classes.
  • Keep related package versions or duplicate-derived records together where necessary to reduce data leakage.
  • Do not use the test labels during model training.
  • Record the number of records in each split and the class distribution.
Tools: Python + Pandas + Scikit-learn
STEP 09

Configure the SVM Classifier

  • Select a suitable SVM configuration for the prepared feature matrix.
  • Choose the kernel and relevant hyperparameters based on the feature representation and available computing resources.
  • Configure class weighting if required by the training data.
  • Set reproducible random seeds for data splitting and applicable preprocessing operations.
  • Prepare the model for training.
Tools: Python + Scikit-learn + NumPy
STEP 10

Train the SVM Model

  • Provide the training feature matrix and verified training labels to the SVM classifier.
  • Train the model using the selected benign and malicious package records.
  • Verify that training completes successfully.
  • Save the trained model together with the fitted preprocessing configuration.
  • Record the selected hyperparameters and training details.
Tools: Python + Scikit-learn
STEP 11

Evaluate the Trained Model

  • Provide the held-out test features to the trained SVM model.
  • Generate predictions for the test records.
  • Compare the predictions against the verified test labels.
  • Calculate accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score where appropriate.
  • Generate a confusion matrix to examine classification errors.
  • Record the actual evaluation results rather than assuming the model achieves a particular accuracy.
Tools: Python + Scikit-learn + Pandas
STEP 12

Prepare the Controlled Package-Risk Scenario

  • Prepare a controlled test scenario representing the introduction of a potentially malicious npm package into a software dependency workflow.
  • Select compatible package records and feature representations for the validation.
  • Use a known labelled malicious package record and a benign package record as test cases where suitable records are available.
  • Keep the expected class separate from the model prediction.
  • Do not execute malicious package code merely to generate a classification result.
Tools: Ubuntu Linux + Kali Linux + Python
STEP 13

Prepare Package Records for Detection

  • Load the selected package records and their available feature representations.
  • Apply the same feature order and preprocessing configuration used during model training.
  • Verify that the feature dimensions match the SVM model's expected input.
  • Retain the package identifier and known test label separately from the feature matrix.
  • Check that each record is compatible with the trained model before prediction.
Tools: Python + Pandas + NumPy + Scikit-learn
STEP 14

Perform SVM-Based Package Classification

  • Load the trained SVM model and the corresponding fitted preprocessing configuration
  • Provide the prepared package features to the model.
  • Generate the predicted class for each package record.
  • Where supported, obtain the decision score or calibrated probability for further review.
  • Store each prediction alongside the package identifier and test record reference.
  • Do not treat the prediction as proof that a package is malicious.
Tools: Python + Scikit-learn + SQLite
STEP 15

Validate the Controlled Test Results

  • Compare the SVM predictions with the known labels of the selected test records.
  • Determine whether the benign and malicious package records are classified correctly.
  • Review false-positive and false-negative outcomes.
  • Repeat the procedure with additional test records where available.
  • Keep test records separate from model training.
  • Document limitations caused by differences between the public dataset and the controlled test scenario.
Tools: Python + Scikit-learn + Pandas
STEP 16

Implement Package Risk Flagging

  • Create a result-processing step that marks records predicted as malicious for further review.
  • Include the package identifier, prediction, available decision score, and relevant feature information in the result.
  • Store the flag in SQLite.
  • Display the flagged result for security review.
  • Ensure that the result is clearly identified as an ML prediction rather than a confirmed security finding.
Tools: Python + SQLite + Scikit-learn
STEP 17

Validate the Defensive Workflow

  • Run npm audit and OSV-Scanner against an appropriate benign test project or dependency manifest within the laboratory.
  • Review their findings and distinguish known vulnerability alerts from the SVM's malicious-package predictions.
  • Verify that benign and malicious test records pass through the same preprocessing and prediction workflow.
  • Check that each detection result is associated with the correct package record.
  • Review how a flagged result would be handled by a separate package approval or installation control.
  • Do not claim automatic blocking unless an enforcement mechanism has actually been implemented and tested.
Tools: npm audit + OSV-Scanner + Python + SQLite + Ubuntu Linux
STEP 18

Perform Final Evaluation and Security Review

  • Review the dataset source, preprocessing steps, model configuration, and evaluation split.
  • Consolidate the classification metrics and confusion matrix.
  • Document the controlled package-risk validation results.
  • Review false positives, false negatives, and data-leakage risks.
  • Record the limitations of the public dataset and the model's applicability to new npm packages.
  • Preserve the experiment configuration, code, and results so the workflow can be repeated.
  • Finalize the malicious package detection assessment.
Tools: Python + Scikit-learn + Pandas + NumPy + SQLite + Git + npm audit + OSV-Scanner + Wireshark

Outcome

An isolated Ubuntu and Kali Linux laboratory is established using VirtualBox for controlled software supply-chain security testing.

An existing public software-package security dataset is obtained and inspected without manually creating the primary training dataset.

Suitable npm package records and verified benign/malicious labels are selected for the SVM classification task.

The selected package features are preprocessed and transformed into a consistent numerical representation suitable for model training.

An SVM model is trained using the selected labelled package records, with the model configuration preserved for reproducibility

The trained model is evaluated against held-out records using appropriate classification metrics, including precision, recall, F1-score, and a confusion matrix.

A controlled package-risk scenario is used to validate the detection workflow without requiring execution of malicious package code.

Package records are classified by the trained SVM model, and potentially malicious predictions are flagged for further security review.

Supplementary cybersecurity tools, including npm audit and OSV-Scanner, are used to examine known dependency vulnerabilities, while their findings are kept separate from the SVM's malicious-package predictions.

The complete implementation demonstrates an SVM-based approach to malicious npm package detection using existing public data, controlled laboratory validation, cybersecurity assessment tools, and measurable evaluation results while documenting the limitations of the model and its training dataset.